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Factors in probability assessment formation |
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Written by Hans IJzerman
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Sunday, 10 January 2010 |
Researcher: Robert Siko, Richard John, University of Southern California, US
An extension of a study originally exploring the relationship between subject expertise and prediction accuracy. This further study seeks to identify which of several proposed elicitation and computational methods produce the most accurate prediction models. This round of data collection asks subjects to provide probability assessments regarding the 2010 NFL Playoffs.
click here to start the study.
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